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Strategy guides

DFS strategy,from the grind.

Stacking, leverage, Showdown, roster construction, and simulation strategy for DraftKings NFL, NBA, and MLB. Written by the guy who builds the tool and plays it every slate.

Every guide

The full library.

NFLProduct Tutorial18 min read

NFL TUTORIAL: EVERY SETTING, EXPLAINED

A full walkthrough of the NFL side of DFS Only. Dashboard, Research, Players, Sims, and every optimizer setting — stack shapes, team allocation, diversity, correlation rules — with recommended setups.

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NBAComparison13 min read

BEST NBA DFS OPTIMIZER TOOLS FOR 2026-27

What separates NBA DFS optimizers this season: minutes modeling, news speed, game correlation, and user control — and where each one falls short.

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NBABeginner Guide13 min read

NBA DFS FOR BEGINNERS: DRAFTKINGS BASKETBALL

Scoring, the eight roster slots, the salary cap, and why minutes decide everything. What you need to play your first DraftKings NBA contest without donating the entry fee.

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NBAStrategy14 min read

NBA DFS MINUTES: WHERE VALUE ACTUALLY COMES FROM

DraftKings prices players yesterday and roles change an hour before tip. How to find who inherits the minutes, who inherits the usage, and why those are different people.

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NBAStrategy12 min read

NBA DFS SHOWDOWN: CAPTAIN MODE ON DRAFTKINGS

The Captain multiplier costs exactly what it pays, so the pick is about ceiling and ownership. How to build six players from one NBA game and beat a field watching the same broadcast.

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NBAStrategy12 min read

NBA DFS STACKING: GAME STACKS, NOT TEAM STACKS

Stacking teammates wins in MLB and NFL and quietly loses in NBA. Why correlation runs through the game instead of the roster, and the pairs that actually move together.

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Sims & dataData Science11 min read

DFS SIMS THE WORD EVERY TOOL USES. THE THING ALMOST NONE OF THEM DO.

Every DFS tool says it runs sims. Sim-graded, black-box, and sim-built with control are three different things — here's how to tell them apart.

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MLBTool Comparison15 min read

BEST MLB DFS OPTIMIZER TOOLS IN 2026

Is a free MLB DFS optimizer enough? What sims add over projections, which features move win rate on DraftKings, and the gaps in each tool, mine included.

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MLBStrategy Guide13 min read

MLB DFS STACKING STRATEGY: THE COMPLETE GUIDE

5-3, 4-4 or 5-2-1? Which MLB stack wins DraftKings GPPs, when to use each, and how to pick the team to stack before the field piles on.

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NFLStrategy Guide12 min read

NFL DFS CASH GAME STRATEGY: WIN THE 50/50s

Cash games need floor, not ceiling. Volume-based roster construction, the game scripts that protect you, and the GPP habits that quietly lose 50/50s.

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NFLTool Comparison12 min read

BEST NFL DFS OPTIMIZER TOOLS IN 2026

Is a free NFL DFS optimizer enough? Sim-built vs projection tools, the features that matter for DraftKings stacks and Showdown, and the gaps in each, mine included.

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NFLBeginner Guide14 min read

NFL DFS FOR BEGINNERS: DRAFTKINGS FOOTBALL IN 2026

NFL DFS explained from zero: DraftKings scoring, roster slots, salary cap, cash vs. GPP contests, and how to build your first lineup this season.

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NFLData Science12 min read

GAME SCRIPT AND VEGAS LINES IN NFL DFS

The spread tells you who throws. The total tells you how much. How to turn Vegas lines into DraftKings projections before the field gets there.

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NFLStrategy Guide12 min read

NFL DFS ROSTER CONSTRUCTION: WHERE YOUR SALARY GOES

Pay up at QB or RB? Punt tight end or pay for one? How to allocate salary across every DraftKings slot, plus a seven-question check before you lock.

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NFLStrategy Guide12 min read

NFL DFS SHOWDOWN STRATEGY: CAPTAIN MODE ON DRAFTKINGS

The Captain multiplier is the most leveraged slot in DFS. How to pick it, build a coherent game narrative around it, and beat a field that's just watching the game.

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NFLStrategy Guide13 min read

NFL DFS STACKING STRATEGY: QB + PASS CATCHER STACKS

How to stack on DraftKings NFL: QB + WR/TE correlation, bring-backs, game stacks, naked QBs, and the stack shapes that actually win tournaments.

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MLBStrategy Guide11 min read

LEVERAGE AND OWNERSHIP IN MLB DFS TOURNAMENTS

Projections tell you who scores; ownership tells you where the field is wrong. How to combine them into plays worth being different on — and when to take the chalk.

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Sims & dataData Science13 min read

HOW ML PROJECTIONS WORK: INSIDE THE ENGINE

Rolling windows, matchup modeling, park and weather inputs, and the feedback loop that makes DFS projections sharper as a season goes on. What's under the number.

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MLBBeginner Guide15 min read

MLB DFS FOR BEGINNERS: START HERE

MLB DFS explained from zero: DraftKings scoring, roster slots, contest types, stacking basics, bankroll rules, and your first lineup.

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MLBStrategy Guide11 min read

MLB DFS SHOWDOWN STRATEGY: CAPTAIN MODE ON DRAFTKINGS

How to win DraftKings MLB Showdown: who to captain, how to build the FLEX, which games to play, and why the math matters more here than anywhere.

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Sims & dataData Science10 min read

WHAT IS MONTE CARLO SIMULATION IN DFS AND WHY IT MATTERS

A projection is one number. A simulation is a hundred thousand versions of the night. Why that difference decides tournaments, explained without the math degree.

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MLBData Science12 min read

WEATHER, PARK FACTORS, AND VEGAS LINES IN MLB DFS

How much wind direction, temperature, park dimensions, and the game total are actually worth in MLB DFS projections — with the numbers behind each one.

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MLBStrategy Guide8 min read

HOW TO PLAY MLB DFS ON A BUDGET: A SMALL BANKROLL STRATEGY GUIDE

You don't need $500 to play MLB DFS profitably. Contest selection, entry sizing, and the discipline that stretches a small roll across a full season.

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FounderFrom the Founder6 min read

THE 15-YEAR GRIND: HOW I STOPPED DONATING TO THE SHARKS

I spent fifteen years donating to players with better tools, then stopped guessing and built the projection system and simulation engine I couldn't afford to buy.

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